History does not have a subjunctive mood - we all know this for sure. You cannot “replay” history. But a pattern in history is not an “iron” law, but a greater or lesser probability. No events are without cause. It is always possible to discover the circumstances that led to them and repeating patterns. You remember, revolutions happened more than once. And here the most important factor appears - knowing the past and probable alternatives, it is easier to make the right decisions today. To predict the future, you need to know the past and its likely options. Know the history. We model the past, but at the same time we learn to calculate the future. Therefore, I am not at all trying to amaze with sensationalism and the Most Important discovery in history, but I am going to talk about several endlessly emerging topics. First from the point of view of history, and then its alternative versions. I am sure that precisely in connection with fairly familiar plots (as many people think) there will be cases of categorical rejection. The matter is familiar. Well. Stay with your opinion. The text is published in the author's edition.